What Polymarket is pricing about Mayor Zohran Mamdani
Polymarket runs a cluster of markets on New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, from his time in office to his policy promises. At 11:38 UTC on 11 October 2026, the market on whether he is out as mayor before 2027 priced Yes at 3.3¢.
Every open market at 11:38 UTC
| Market | Yes (or leading outcome) | Closes |
|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | 3.3¢ | 1 Jan 2027 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | 2.7¢ | 1 Jan 2027 |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | 0.6¢ | 1 Jan 2027 |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | 9.5¢ | 1 Jan 2031 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31? | 3.6¢ | 1 Jan 2027 |
| Mamdani visits the White House by...? | December 31 31.5¢ | 1 Nov 2026 |
| Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027? | 10¢ | 1 Apr 2027 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? | 17.5¢ | 1 Jan 2027 |
How each venue resolves it
Polymarket's market description:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What a trade costs
Both venues charge a fee that is largest near 50¢ and shrinks toward 1¢ and 99¢. The exact rates, by category, are on our Kalshi fees and Polymarket fees pages, and whether you can trade at all depends on your state.
About these prices
Prices are the last traded price on Kalshi's public market API and the displayed price on Polymarket's Gamma API, both read at 11:38 UTC on 11 October 2026. They move all day; open the market on the venue for the price now.
